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SVB and First Republic Failures Are Just the Start of a Lengthy Banking Crisis — If You Believe 800 Years of History

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The beginning stages of a ‘systemic bank-distress episode.’ The professors reached their conclusions by comparing regulators’ behavior in the current crisis with how they reacted during almost 2,000 historical banking-sector interventions in 138 countries dating back to the 13th century. Stocks and real estate are vulnerable to a systemic banking crisis that could last months, […]

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Silver Hit a 1-Year High. Here’s Why it Can Keep Climbing…

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The Silver Institute’s World Silver Survey forecasts a second straight annual deficit in silver supplies. “Demand for physical silver, and gold for that matter, is showing overall investor concern over the state of the economy, geopolitical turmoil, and potentially persistent inflation,” said Stephen Gardner. Gold isn’t the only precious metal benefiting from economic uncertainty and

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Bond Market’s Most Deeply Inverted Gauge is Pointing to ‘Large Slowdown in Economic Growth’ and ‘Deep Recession’

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The most deeply inverted part of the U.S. yield curve is one that hasn’t sent a false signal about the prospects of a U.S. recession in more than a half-century of research. That’s the spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, the large difference between the two rates is pointing to the likelihood of a

Bond Market’s Most Deeply Inverted Gauge is Pointing to ‘Large Slowdown in Economic Growth’ and ‘Deep Recession’ Read More »

Opinion: ‘Most U.S. Banks Are Technically Near Insolvency, and Hundreds Are Already Fully Insolvent,’ Roubini Says

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Bank-sector stress makes a stagflationary debt crisis more likely and potentially more severe. Higher inflation would lead to higher bond yields, which in turn would hurt stocks as the discount factor for dividends rose. But, at the same time, higher yields on “safe” bonds would imply a fall in their price, too, owing to the

Opinion: ‘Most U.S. Banks Are Technically Near Insolvency, and Hundreds Are Already Fully Insolvent,’ Roubini Says Read More »

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