“There is no chance we’re having a soft landing in the context of the most pernicious tightening by the Fed since the Paul Volcker years,” Rosenberg says. It’s equally interesting to hear Dimon talk about how great things are when the pace of bank lending, in the aggregate, is heading towards negative territory on a […]
The Fed’s interest rate hikes have already precipitated a financial crisis. The central bank created an economy that depends on artificially low interest rates and periodic quantitative easing. It simply can’t function in a high-interest-rate environment. An economist at the Fed – According to their analysis, more than one-third (37%) of non-financial US companies are in
Fed Economists Warn of Looming Disaster Due to High Interest Rates Read More »
Gold’s value compared to equities and bonds makes it the perfect portfolio diversifier. It’s only a matter of time before gold prices push well past $2,000 an ounce as the world continues to deal with higher interest rates, rising inflation pressures, and the global economy drowning in debt. “Gold relative to money supply itself is also absurdly
The most deeply inverted part of the U.S. yield curve is one that hasn’t sent a false signal about the prospects of a U.S. recession in more than a half-century of research. That’s the spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasury yields, the large difference between the two rates is pointing to the likelihood of a
“Every rate hiking cycle of the last 70 years has ended in recession (c. 80% of the time) and/or a financial crisis… His comments came after three U.S. banks have collapsed, as federal authorities organized major banks to deposit $30 billion into First Republic Bank FRC, +3.57% to stave off a fourth. “At this stage,
“We have never escaped a recession from this point,” JPMorgan economists are telling clients about one indicator, noting stocks have never hit a low before the Fed has stopped hiking interest rates. Despite growing hopes the U.S. may ultimately avoid an anxiously anticipated recession, JPMorgan economists are warning clients that a flurry of indicators are
Stagflation is Now the Consensus Expectation of Asset Managers for 2023 “Bridgewater Associates is the world’s largest hedge fund. Bridgewater’s chief investment strategist, Rebecca Patterson, is another of the voices saying that stagflation will be the economy’s base case through at least the near term. That’s not all she’s been saying, however. Patterson also has
“Gold is a Stagflation-Fighting Asset” Read More »
